Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.

This is a polymarket prediction market in the technology category. Currently priced at 22% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $63K. 24-hour volume: $26. Market closes February 28, 2026.

polymarkettechnology

Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Closes: Feb 28, 2026
22% Yes
Buy Yes
Buy No
24h Vol
$26
Total
$63K
Liq
$407
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.

Market Analysis
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? (22% odds) | Kelvon