Will the winning golfer's final score be -7 or better?

If the winning golfer has recorded a final score relative to par of below -6 in the 2026 U.S. Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the sports category. Currently priced at 28% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $71K. 24-hour volume: $26K. Market closes July 6, 2026.

kalshisports

Will the winning golfer's final score be -7 or better?

Closes: Jul 6, 2026
28% Yes
Buy Yes
38¢
Buy No
63¢
24h Vol
$26K
Total
$71K
OI
$47K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If the winning golfer has recorded a final score relative to par of below -6 in the 2026 U.S. Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

For this market, scores are measured relative to par, where lower (more negative) scores are better. “-7 or better” includes any score -7 or lower (e.g., -7, -8, -9, etc.). “Even par or worse” includes even par (E) or any score above par (e.g., E, +1, +2, etc.). Note: A golfer’s final score is their total score (relative to par) after 72 holes, excluding any playoff holes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the PGA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Market Analysis
Will the winning golfer's final score be -7 or better? (28% odds) | Kelvon