Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before December 1, 2026?

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before December 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 68% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $48K. 24-hour volume: $20K. Market closes December 1, 2026.

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Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before December 1, 2026?

Closes: Dec 1, 2026
68% Yes
Buy Yes
69¢
Buy No
33¢
24h Vol
$20K
Total
$48K
OI
$41K
Resolution Rules

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before December 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Analysis
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before December 1, 2026? (68% odds) | Kelvon