First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?

The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, with a potential runoff on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the Los Angeles Mayoral election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.

This is a polymarket prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 2% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $42K. 24-hour volume: $10K. Market closes June 2, 2026.

polymarketpolitics

First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?

Closes: Jun 2, 2026
2% Yes
Buy Yes
Buy No
100¢
24h Vol
$10K
Total
$42K
Liq
$28K
Resolution Rules

The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, with a potential runoff on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the Los Angeles Mayoral election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.

Market Analysis
First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election? (2% odds) | Kelvon