Will Justin Gaethje win the Ilia Topuria vs. Justin Gaethje UFC Freedom 250 fight in Round 4

If Justin Gaethje wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 4 of the Ilia Topuria vs. Justin Gaethje UFC Freedom 250 fight originally scheduled for Jun 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the sports category. Currently priced at 3% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $47K. 24-hour volume: $33K. Market closes June 29, 2026.

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Will Justin Gaethje win the Ilia Topuria vs. Justin Gaethje UFC Freedom 250 fight in Round 4

Closes: Jun 29, 2026
3% Yes
Buy Yes
Buy No
98¢
24h Vol
$33K
Total
$47K
OI
$46K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If Justin Gaethje wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 4 of the Ilia Topuria vs. Justin Gaethje UFC Freedom 250 fight originally scheduled for Jun 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

For settlement purposes, a technical decision is considered a decision and will result in the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” outcome resolving to Yes, and will not count as a win in any round.

Market Analysis
Will Justin Gaethje win the Ilia Topuria vs. Justin Gaethje UFC Freedom 250 fight in Round 4 (3% odds) | Kelvon