Will the total vote count for all participants in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 850000?

If the total vote count for all participants in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is above 850000, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 79% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $40K. 24-hour volume: $17K. Market closes June 2, 2027.

kalshipolitics

Will the total vote count for all participants in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 850000?

Closes: Jun 2, 2027
79% Yes
Buy Yes
83¢
Buy No
20¢
24h Vol
$17K
Total
$40K
OI
$20K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If the total vote count for all participants in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is above 850000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.

Market Analysis
Will the total vote count for all participants in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 850000? (79% odds) | Kelvon