Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This is a polymarket prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 96% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $55K. 24-hour volume: $45K. Market closes June 1, 2026.

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Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Closes: Jun 1, 2026
96% Yes
Buy Yes
96¢
Buy No
24h Vol
$45K
Total
$55K
Liq
$19K
Resolution Rules

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market Analysis
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? (96% odds) | Kelvon