Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.2% in May?
If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.2% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the economics category. Currently priced at 71% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $43K. 24-hour volume: $11K. Market closes June 5, 2026.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
kalshieconomics
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.2% in May?
Closes: Jun 5, 2026
71% Yes
Buy Yes
71¢
Buy No
30¢
24h Vol24h Volume
$11K
TotalTotal Volume
$43K
OIOpen Interest
$30K
Resolution Rules
If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.2% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Market Analysis