Will above 20000 jobs be added in May 2026?

If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 20000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the economics category. Currently priced at 84% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $39K. 24-hour volume: $4K. Market closes June 5, 2026.

kalshieconomics

Will above 20000 jobs be added in May 2026?

Closes: Jun 5, 2026
84% Yes
Buy Yes
83¢
Buy No
18¢
24h Vol
$4K
Total
$39K
OI
$38K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 20000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

The market closes at 8:29 AM ET on the expected date of the data release.

Market Analysis
Will above 20000 jobs be added in May 2026? (84% odds) | Kelvon