Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This is a polymarket prediction market in the world category. Currently priced at 7% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $125K. 24-hour volume: $80K. Market closes December 31, 2026.

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Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

Closes: Dec 31, 2026
7% Yes
Buy Yes
Buy No
93¢
24h Vol
$80K
Total
$125K
Liq
$13K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Market Analysis
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? (7% odds) | Kelvon