How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

If SpaceX has more than 15 launches in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the technology category. Currently priced at 4% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $49K. 24-hour volume: $13K. Market closes July 1, 2026.

kalshitechnology

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

Closes: Jul 1, 2026
4% Above 15
Buy Yes
Buy No
97¢
24h Vol
$13K
Total
$49K
OI
$22K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If SpaceX has more than 15 launches in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.

Market Analysis
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? (4% odds) | Kelvon