Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 Men's World Cup?

If any country that competes in South America (CONMEBOL) qualification is the 2026 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the sports category. Currently priced at 23% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $50K. 24-hour volume: $20K. Market closes August 3, 2026.

kalshisports

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 Men's World Cup?

Closes: Aug 3, 2026
23% Yes
Buy Yes
23¢
Buy No
78¢
24h Vol
$20K
Total
$50K
OI
$44K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If any country that competes in South America (CONMEBOL) qualification is the 2026 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

For settlement purposes, a country is considered part of a continent based on the FIFA World Cup qualification pathway it competes through, rather than strict geographic borders. European nations are those that compete through UEFA qualification, African nations through CAF, North American nations through CONCACAF, South American nations through CONMEBOL, and Asian/Oceanian nations through either AFC or OFC qualification. This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA. Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi. Refer to the below country designations. Europe/UEFA: France, Spain, England, Portugal, Germany, Netherlands, Norway, Belgium, Croatia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Czechia, Switzerland, Türkiye, Sweden, Austria, Scotland South America/CONMEBOL: Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, Uruguay, Ecuador, Paraguay North America/CONCACAF: USA, Mexico, Canada, Curaçao, Haiti, Panama Africa/CAF: Morocco, Congo DR, Senegal, Ivory Coast, Egypt, Ghana, Cape Verde, Algeria, South Africa, Tunisia Asia or Oceania/AFC or OFC: Japan, Iraq, South Korea, Australia, Iran, Jordan, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Uzbekistan, New Zealand

Market Analysis
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 Men's World Cup? (23% odds) | Kelvon